Bugboybill
Money Making Megastar!
A bit surprised at claims all adults over 50 will have first dose by end of March. I’m 58 and the Omni vaccine calculator says mine will be between 5th and 24th April at current rates.
I don't think there is much point in looking at US and comparing as a whole, each state has done their own thing. Some have locked down, some haven't then everything in between. Plus some states, the populations are so spread out, no need to socially distance! I'd love to know how the US comes up with their health stats as unlike many other countries, they don't really have a centrally run health service.
Looking at this VERY SHARP drop from mid Jan - What do you think is causing it? Lockdown? Vaccine? Both?
The US for example hasn't REALLY had a lockdown and their case numbers of tumbling as well!
If my numbers are right, that's still around 3.44 million people (20% needing hospital treatment of the 25% that the vaccine didn't work for) who are likely to need medical intervention. That's without getting into long Covid, which is about 1 in 10 at the current rates. Those still look like numbers that could poleaxe the NHS to me."First dose of Pfizer Covid vaccine cuts infections by 75 per cent, new study finds"
If this is the case then can we not just abort the 2nd jab and use that one to jab more people and just give everyone 1 jab?
No, not necessarily. The study was looking at the reduction in transmission, which is an additional benefit to the protection of 92% from becoming ill. So the benefit of 75% is to the surroundings and people in it. I do think we should continue giving 2 jabs though to get to that 92% protection rate.If my numbers are right, that's still around 3.44 million people (20% needing hospital treatment of the 25% that the vaccine didn't work for) who are likely to need medical intervention. That's without getting into long Covid, which is about 1 in 10 at the current rates. Those still look like numbers that could poleaxe the NHS to me.
Yes, let's plough through, but especially with mutations happening all the time, let's get those top up jabs done too. I want life back to (near) normal so I can do my job, and 75% of anything doesn't fill me with confidence.
I'm just playing with numbers here. It's my thing. I wish it wasn't as they scare the wits out of me.
Ah, that changes the numbers completely. Do you have a link to the actual article? I promise I'll do more encouraging numbers based off that (but maybe in the morning, as I am having a cruddy long Covid day).No, not necessarily. The study was looking at the reduction in transmission, which is an additional benefit to the protection of 92% from becoming ill. So the benefit of 75% is to the surroundings and people in it. I do think we should continue giving 2 jabs though to get to that 92% protection rate.
While I welcome this target it’s a bit disingenuous to suggest that this is based on speeding up. At the current rate of vaccinations and bearing in mind second jabs will be kicking in soon we are on target to give a first jab to everybody from 18 years up by mid July. I checked this out on the COVID jab calculator. And of course we have more vaccines to come, including one that requires only one jab.WELL!!
Covid vaccine: All UK adults to be offered jab by 31 July - PM
Boris Johnson says there will be "no let up", as he prepares to set out his plan to ease lockdown.www.bbc.co.uk
yeah I can't see why it's going to take as long as the end of July to get all adults done at the current rate they are going!While I welcome this target it’s a bit disingenuous to suggest that this is based on speeding up. At the current rate of vaccinations and bearing in mind second jabs will be kicking in soon we are on target to give a first jab to everybody from 18 years up by mid July. I checked this out on the COVID jab calculator. And of course we have more vaccines to come, including one that requires only one jab.
I'm now supposed to be shielding in my own right, but also taking the "as I've been jabbed, I'll just be ultra-careful" route. Looking forward to sitting in the park with a friend and a coffee soon.We're supposed to be shielding still until the end of March, but having been jabbed, I think a socially distanced picnic in the park with my daughter and Granddaughter would be a small risk worth taking