Leece said:Brilliant announcement. Very happy with that
Leece said:Brilliant announcement. Very happy with that
That definitely complicates matters!!! If only their oddsmatcher was as good as OM then it would be a no brainer!!!Jon said:https://www.profitaccumulator.co.uk/news/matched-betting/acca-catcher-and-match-catcher-now-available-to-all-members/Leece said:Brilliant announcement. Very happy with that
jkg-jkg said:That definitely complicates matters!!! If only their oddsmatcher was as good as OM then it would be a no brainer!!!Jon said:https://www.profitaccumulator.co.uk/news/matched-betting/acca-catcher-and-match-catcher-now-available-to-all-members/Leece said:Brilliant announcement. Very happy with that
Some serious thinking to be done for sure
What are the differences?Leece said:I use the beta version most of the time now, definitely a good improvement on the old one.
does it have an 'advanced' bit where you can do underlay/overlay calcs? And does it do more bookies (e.g. Sunbets)Leece said:It does lots of other sports in it, it is also much quicker to update
jkg-jkg said:does it have an 'advanced' bit where you can do underlay/overlay calcs? And does it do more bookies (e.g. Sunbets)Leece said:It does lots of other sports in it, it is also much quicker to update
jkg-jkg said:I'm not sure I agree they are relatively low risk
Ladbrokes wager £30 for £5 free bet - with the right RTP slot then this is a +ve EV so agree here
Sportingbet Wager £10 and get 50% refund on losses - this still needs you to make losses, so this is -ve EV
Superlenny 200% deposit bonus (x20) buying in with £20 - if this is just x20 the bonus then marginal, but x20 both deposit and bonus then it is -ve EV
Betfair £5 live casino match - this is sort of ok, but with such a small amount the variance can kill you even if the EV is +ve
Maybe you are limited to the offers you are allowed to do, but it might be you need to look again at the offers you choose and target only those with +ve EV for a while
With a 90% RTP slot I find the variance can be a lot more than a 95% slot and as you are only wagering £30 I think my Ladbrokes comment is fair enough.Stims said:jkg-jkg said:I'm not sure I agree they are relatively low risk
Ladbrokes wager £30 for £5 free bet - with the right RTP slot then this is a +ve EV so agree here
Sportingbet Wager £10 and get 50% refund on losses - this still needs you to make losses, so this is -ve EV
Superlenny 200% deposit bonus (x20) buying in with £20 - if this is just x20 the bonus then marginal, but x20 both deposit and bonus then it is -ve EV
Betfair £5 live casino match - this is sort of ok, but with such a small amount the variance can kill you even if the EV is +ve
Maybe you are limited to the offers you are allowed to do, but it might be you need to look again at the offers you choose and target only those with +ve EV for a while
I don't think you quite grasp the maths behind what would be EV and what wouldn't. The ladbrokes offer would be pretty much +EV no matter which slot you use, assuming you retain £4 from the free bet. Obviously you can increase EV taking a better RTP slot.
The Sporting Bet offer is +EV every single time; It's worth about 2.30 each week. Not to mention the fact its extremely quick to do, low variance and very easy. There's really no reason you wouldn't be doing this offer unless you did only risk free offers. You don't need to lose (quite the opposite) but the cashback if you do is giving you the edge.
x20 on a 200% bonus is a nice amount of positive EV actually, especially going by todays offers and is certainly not 'marginal'. In fact i'm quite confident it would still be +EV if it did require the deposit and bonus to be wagered. Not to mention i was doing a high RTP slot and low spin size meaning my bust rate was only around 70%. I wouldn't say this is 'low' risk.. but i wouldn't say high either.
The Betfair offer required use of blackjack or roulette.. two of the lowest variance games available. Again worth a couple of quid but with the low buy in and low wagering, this pretty low risk.
I don't really understand what you are trying to say with your last comment either? I mean are you suggesting i am doing offers where the house has the edge and expecting to make money? I'm well aware that advantage play requires you to have the edge (positive EV).
I'm not sure what they are teaching you on PA.